‘The hits just keep on coming,’ as they say. For Democrats in general and President Obama in particular, however, that’s not good news.
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Today the unemployment numbers for April show that only 115,000 jobs were created in that month. While unemployment fell to 8.1%, it did so because a huge number of Americans stopped looking for jobs. Instead, we see huge numbers of Americans applying for disability benefits. You think that’s a coincidence?
But the really bad news for Democrats is Wisconsin. Embattled Republican Governor Scott Walker’s campaign announced today he raised an impressive $13 million in the past reporting period, mostly from small donors, though he also has a solid base of supporters in the business community. Right now he has $25 million saved up for the coming recall election and leads in the polls.
Unions are trying desperately to turn back reforms to public union agreements which are weakening their political clout everywhere. They’ve made Wisconsin the front line in their battle against reform and plan to spend a whopping $40 million to try and unseat Governor Walker. Unions have the great advantage of being able to bring the funding of a national organization to bear, but their efforts to remove Walker have gained national attention and the governor is being supported by individuals across the country who believe in what he’s doing.
So, how is this bad for the president and for Democrats in Washington? Because this effort is going to siphon a huge portion of political funding away from national campaigns. Union coffers are fairly deep, but they’re not bottomless, and if Governor Walker manages to win the election, it will be a demoralizing and draining defeat for the unions. Democrats desperately need union support, but, one way or another unions are further handicapping Democratic efforts in November.
Let’s say unions do manage to unseat Governor Walker this summer? The funds going into the effort will not be easily or quickly replaced. With Democratic control of the senate in jeopardy and the House looking as if it will remain in Republican hands, this effort to win a battle could lose Democrats their war.
And if unions fail in Wisconsin, the loss is magnified in a such a way as it might hurt them far more than victory could ever help them. The recall election is one month away and a recent poll shows the Governor ahead of both his Democratic rivals. Many pundits predicted Walker’s defeat, now it seems he may well survive this all-out effort to replace him with a more compliant Democratic governor.
This is the race to watch as it will be a bellwether for elections in November. I think It’s time for me to donate to the Walker campaign.